NBA projections and matchup research, built on player types.
Every player gets four types: SCORING, REBOUNDING, PLAYMAKING and SHOOTING. Types group players by role rather than position. How each defense has done against each type drives the matchup adjustments in every projection.
Notable matchups
Wed 11/11 · Biggest type adjustments, players projected for 20+ minutes. Click a row to see the player's type. Today's slate →| Points Allowed | Adjustment | vs type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GSW | Stephen Curry | -1.6 | 1st fewest@ HOU · ABS |
| SAS | Victor Wembanyama | +1.4 | 1st most@ CHI · FTD |
| POR | Deni Avdija | -1.2 | 1st fewestvs OKC · FTD |
| TOR | RJ Barrett | -1.1 | 2nd fewestvs BOS · R&3 |
| POR | Damian Lillard | -1.1 | 1st fewestvs OKC · FTD |
| Rebounds Allowed | Adjustment | vs type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | Victor Wembanyama | +0.8 | 3rd most@ CHI · DGLS |
| CLE | Evan Mobley | -0.6 | 3rd fewest@ NYK · SDEF |
| ORL | Wendell Carter Jr. | +0.5 | 7th most@ UTA · ABV |
| OKC | Isaiah Hartenstein | +0.5 | 8th most@ POR · DOM |
| WAS | Anthony Davis | +0.5 | 11th most@ IND · DOM |
| Assists Allowed | Adjustment | vs type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | Nikola Jokić | +0.3 | 5th most@ MEM · D&D |
| ORL | Franz Wagner | +0.3 | 1st most@ UTA · BDC |
| TOR | Jamal Shead | -0.2 | 1st fewestvs BOS · PASS |
| SAS | Stephon Castle | +0.2 | 2nd most@ CHI · D&D |
| SAS | De'Aaron Fox | +0.2 | 2nd most@ CHI · D&D |
| Threes Allowed | Adjustment | vs type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | Luka Dončić | +0.1 | 5th most@ MIL · PUSP |
| DEN | Jamal Murray | +0.1 | 3rd most@ MEM · PUSP |
| ORL | Desmond Bane | +0.1 | 1st most@ UTA · PUSP |
| GSW | Stephen Curry | -0.1 | 7th fewest@ HOU · PULEAN |
| SAS | Julian Champagnie | +0.1 | 1st most@ CHI · HVOL |
Projection leaders · Wed 11/11Sort the slate →
| 1 | Luka Dončić | LAL | 35.0 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 30.8 |
| 3 | Stephen Curry | GSW | 30.1 |
| 4 | Victor Wembanyama | SAS | 29.7 |
| 5 | Ty Jerome | MEM | 26.7 |
| 6 | Nikola Jokić | DEN | 26.6 |
| 7 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 26.4 |
| 8 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 24.8 |
| 1 | Victor Wembanyama | SAS | 13.2 |
| 2 | Karl-Anthony Towns | NYK | 12.4 |
| 3 | Nikola Jokić | DEN | 12.2 |
| 4 | Donovan Clingan | POR | 11.8 |
| 5 | Walker Kessler | LAL | 11.7 |
| 6 | Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 11.0 |
| 7 | Jusuf Nurkić | UTA | 10.6 |
| 8 | Cameron Boozer | MEM | 10.1 |
| 1 | Nikola Jokić | DEN | 10.3 |
| 2 | Trae Young | WAS | 9.9 |
| 3 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 8.6 |
| 4 | Luka Dončić | LAL | 8.3 |
| 5 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 8.3 |
| 6 | Alperen Sengun | HOU | 7.3 |
| 7 | Draymond Green | GSW | 7.0 |
| 8 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 6.8 |
| 1 | Luka Dončić | LAL | 5.0 |
| 2 | Stephen Curry | GSW | 4.9 |
| 3 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 3.7 |
| 4 | Michael Porter Jr. | BKN | 3.6 |
| 5 | Paul George | BOS | 3.2 |
| 6 | Ty Jerome | MEM | 3.2 |
| 7 | Damian Lillard | POR | 3.1 |
| 8 | Desmond Bane | ORL | 3.0 |
| 1 | Luka Dončić | LAL | 51.3 |
| 2 | Nikola Jokić | DEN | 49.2 |
| 3 | Victor Wembanyama | SAS | 46.2 |
| 4 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 40.9 |
| 5 | Stephen Curry | GSW | 38.7 |
| 6 | Alperen Sengun | HOU | 38.4 |
| 7 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 38.1 |
| 8 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 38.0 |